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Yields Stronger Than Expected as Harvest Concludes

Average corn yields in Iowa are expected to approach last year’s record despite the significant drought that developed throughout the growing season, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

“Harvest is pretty well complete, and I think people were pleasantly surprised with the corn yields, as well as the soybean yields,” said Aaron Saeugling, an Iowa State University Extension field agronomist who monitors the southwest corner of the state. “We did have a pretty full soil-moisture profile going into spring. … Corn in particular was able to root deep.”

USDA predicted that November corn yields will average 202 bushels per acre, down from 204 last year.

Soybean yields are expected to average 59 bushels per acre, down from 63 last year, which was also a record high. The growing season of 2021 was also drier than normal, but crops were aided by timely rains.

The northwest corner of Iowa bore the brunt of this year’s drought, and it shows in the yields. “Corn yields in that area are averaging about 170 bushels per acre,” said Leah Ten Napel, an Extension field agronomist who monitors the area. “Yields were very variable for the farmers. Growers in areas that caught timely rains were 200-plus (bushels per acre). But some fields had yields of 50 bushels per acre or less. We saw big effects of the drought this year.”

Drought conditions were somewhat alleviated early in November by widespread heavy rainfall, but the state is in far worse shape heading into winter than it was last year.

This year, Iowa is projected to produce about 2.51 billion bushels of corn this year, down from about 2.54 billion last year. That would be the most of any state, with Illinois the runner-up at 2.27 billion bushels.

Illinois is projected to have higher average yields at 215 bushels per acre — a new record for the state. Illinois farmers have about 15% fewer acres of cornfield.

Illinois will again lead the nation in soybean production at about 684.8 million bushels, compared to Iowa’s 591 million. Iowa has slightly fewer acres of soybeans and lower yields. Illinois is expected to harvest about 64 bushels per acre.

EDITOR’S TAKE:

With rather severe drought conditions in some western areas this year, it is easy to see why earlier predictions called for reduced yields. Thank goodness those predictions are not proving to be true. Instead, as the article points out, crop yields are close to the record yields set last year. And with commodity prices holding very strong, especially in light of lower exports from Russia and the Ukraine, net farm income will also likely be better than projected.

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